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Japan will impose 10% consumption tax on sub-¥10,000 imports from 2026, following EU's €2-per-package fee and Italy's €55,000 deposit requirement for non-EU sellers.
These measures have increased cross-border costs by 30% and tripled clearance times, with EU parcel volumes hitting 4.6B in 2024 (5x growth since 2020).
For e-commerce sellers, consider shifting to bonded warehouses in target markets - US importers are already stockpiling Chinese goods this way.
Alternatively, leverage China's growing rail network which moved 12.99B tons of cargo Jan-Apr (+3.6% YoY) for more stable pricing.
While global parcel taxes dominate headlines, China's logistics sector is advancing through:
Green packaging mandates (90% recyclable materials required from June 1)
Air cargo expansion with SF Express adding 7 new smart cargo airports in Shandong
Actionable Advice:
Importers can capitalize on China's improved domestic network by:
Using SF Express' new air routes for time-sensitive samples
Requesting compliant eco-packaging to avoid EU/Japan penalties
Testing Cainiao's autonomous last-mile delivery in pilot zones
Autonomous delivery via Cainiao's L4 self-driving vehicles launching next month
Europe: Port delays now average 5-6 days, with new tire anti-dumping probes adding to congestion
Middle East: Houthi warnings continue disrupting Red Sea routes
Actionable Advice:
For Europe: Shift some volume to China-Europe rail (transit times now rivaling sea)
For US-bound goods: Explore Mexico nearshoring as 18% of Chinese manufacturers have opened facilities there
For high-value items: SF Express' expanded air network offers 12-hour China-EU delivery
US-China: Export controls spurring "bonded warehouse rush" - 37% more Chinese goods stockpiled in US warehouses YTD
By June 1: Audit packaging for new recyclable standards
Before Q3: Lock in rail/air capacity as sea rates keep fluctuating
Data sources: Japan MOF, EU Customs, China Railway (May 26, 2025)
Long-term: Model 10-15% cost impacts from Japan/EU taxes in 2026 pricing
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